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Category: Dr. Duke's Blog
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The markets basically slogged slowly sideways on low volume as traders waited to read the FOMC minutes. I listened to several of the talking heads on CNBC complain about the lack of a "clear timetable" - really? How can Bernanke deliver a clear timetable when Fed actions have been clearly communicated as dependent on economic data to assure the committee that the economy is strong enough to stand on its own? Do we expect him to predict that unemployment will decline to 6.5% in September and then he will reduce the bond purchases by 15% each month, etc.? Really?

This is the reward Bernanke receives for his attempts to better communicate FOMC reasoning and decisions. Perhaps this is just more evidence of why the FOMC had no business doing QE in the first place.

SPX closed the day flat at $1653 while RUT gained $2 to close at $1020. VIX was essentially unchanged at 14.2%. Trading volume was flat with 2.1 billion shares of the S&P 500 trading. Trading volume declined 5% on the NYSE and volume declined 4% on NASDAQ.

My July condor position stands at a net gain of 15% with position delta = -$34 and theta = +$222. The 1050/1060 call spreads are far OTM (delta of the 1050 call = 4), but I will most likely close them this week unless the market pulls back from these levels.

Bernanke will deliver the Humphrey-Hawkins report to Congress next week, so the Fed watching craziness is far from over.