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Category: Dr. Duke's Blog
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The markets opened modestly higher this morning but quickly weakened and traded lower. SPX hit a high of $1690, matching yesterday's high, but then closed very close to its low of the day ($1682) at $1683, down $6. RUT lost $7 to close at $1049. Volatility rose a bit with VIX closing at 14.3%, up a half point. Trading volume was flat to down with 2.0 billion shares of the S&P 500 stocks trading (flat from yesterday). Trading on the NYSE dropped 2% and trading volume declined 3% on NASDAQ.

This week's unemployment data showed some additional improvement with initial unemployment claims of 292k, down 31k from last week. Continuing unemployment claims declined 73k to 2871k. Maybe that is what drove the initial spurt in the markets at the open this morning. But that bullishness didn't last.

My September iron condor on RUT stands at a P/L = +$2,360 or +13.5% with position delta = +$5 and position theta = +$85. Both spreads are over two standard deviations OTM; the maximum gain for the 20 contract position is $2,560 or 14.7%.

Retail sales, PPI and consumer sentiment all report tomorrow - will those reports move the market? I doubt it. I think the FOMC announcement next Wednesday is the market's focus at this point.