The continual drumbeat of global financial collapse started to have an effect on Wall Street today. Unfortunately, the common financial media outlets are playing the same Chicken Little game. Bill Gross of PIMCO fame (the largest bond fund in the world) was interviewed on CNBC several weeks ago and pointed out how it was virtually impossible for the treasury to default on the debt - it requires less than 20% of incoming monthly tax receipts to pay the monthly interest bill. But it was clear that that didn't fit what the producers at CNBC were selling and so it was simply ignored. Our freedom is in danger when the press effectively becomes a propaganda tool for a political point of view.
The Fed's empire manufacturing survey surprised analysts with a
significant decline to 1.5 for October from last month's 6.3 reading.
The Beige Book will be released tomorrow and maybe the CPI data as well.
SPX lost $12 to close at $1698 and RUT gave up $11, closing at $1080 (this figures since the rally yesterday forced me to close my October call spreads on RUT). The reversal on SPX at $1710 reinforces the resistance level set by SPX's high in early August. Volatility spiked up almost three points to 18.7% on today's sell off. For RUT, today's price action is merely a common pull back after setting another all time high. RUT's bullish posture underscores the underlying strength of this market. RUT has been leading this bull market all year. All of the technical signs point to a bull market poised to erupt once Washington settles the debt/spending issue. But when the consensus of the evidence seems so obvious, it worries me. Keep your positions on a short leash.
I entered the EBAY Oct 46/50 and 58/62 iron condor today as a play on this evening's earnings announcement. EBAY's price action has been very sluggish since December, so the OTM options didn't have much premium, but it is a high probability trade, returning about 11% in 2-3 days. In after hours trading, EBAY is unchanged at $54.

