Think of this market as your dad sleeping off Thanksgiving dinner on the couch. SPX has had a huge run over the past month, so a little sideways consolidation trading isn't too surprising. SPX opened and ran up to $1941 this morning, but then dove down to $1931 just after noon. Then SPX just chopped sideways the balance of the day, closing at $1938, up $2. RUT behaved similarly, closing up $4 at $1167. Volatility rose just a touch with the VIX closing at 12.7%, up a half of a point.
Trading volume was light with 1.8 billion shares of the S&P 500 stocks trading, still well below the 50 dma. Trading volume on the NYSE rose 8%, but volume dropped 4% on NASDAQ.
The Empire manufacturing index from the New York Fed came in at 19.3 for June, up slightly from 19.0 in May. Industrial production for May reported at +0.6%, an increase over the previous month's 0.3% decline. Capacity Utilization rose slightly in May to 79.1% from April's 78.9% level.
We may see light trading tomorrow as well, since the FOMC announcement is due Wednesday afternoon. I don't expect anything really new from the Fed announcement, but it is hard to predict the market's reactions. It isn't always rational (or at least doesn't match my rationale).
Digesting the Gains
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- Written by Dr. Duke
- Category: Dr. Duke's Blog
- Hits: 2009

