Star InactiveStar InactiveStar InactiveStar InactiveStar Inactive
 

The Standard and Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) closed Friday at 3907, down 7 points on the day, but down 0.8% for the week. I am watching the support level formed this week and last week around 3875. If SPX breaks support, it could be headed lower. SPX’s trading volume ran below the 50-day moving average (dma) all week.

VIX, the volatility index for the S&P 500 options, closed Friday at 22%. As one might expect for a flat market week, VIX was in a narrow range this week of 21% to 24%.

IWM, the ETF based on the Russell 2000 group of companies, closed at 225.19 Friday, down 1.9% for the week. IWM has shown weak support at 219 and stronger support at 215. A break below 215 would be a warning signal.

The NASDAQ Composite index closed Friday at 13,874, up 9 points on the day but down 2% for the week, close to the losses of the Russell 2000 index. NASDAQ’s trading volume ran slightly above and below average all week, and closed Friday almost precisely at the 50 dma.

This was a bearish week for the markets with the Russell 2000 index (the basis of IWM) and the NASDAQ both losing about two percent and the S&P 500 index losing almost one percent. The only positive signs were some weak signs of recovery on Friday.

Market analysts are in two camps. One remains bullish and the other is nervous, expecting a pullback or possibly a correction soon. Of course, the usual doomsday gurus are being interviewed on the financial networks. I find it hard to take them too seriously. It’s the “boy cried wolf” problem. I doubt the end of the world scenario, but a pullback or correction would not be surprising at all.

I am continuing to sell these elevated levels of volatility, but I am also closing positions aggressively when they move against me the least bit. Several stocks continue to post strong gains. Watch your positions very closely. It is a nervous market.