The Standard and Poors 500 index (SPX) closed today at 5,865, up 23 points or +0.4%. SPX opened the week at 5,830, gaining 0.6% for the week. The S&P 500 index closed today at an all-time high. Trading volume slowly declined this week.
VIX, the volatility index for the S&P 500 options, declined steadily this week, opening Monday at 20.8% and closing today at 18.0%. Historically, this level of volatility is moderately high for a bullish market. Is the election creating some anxiety?
I track the Russell 2000 index with the IWM ETF, which closed today at 226, down a half point or -0.2% on the day. IWM opened the week at 221 for a weekly gain of 2.2%. Unlike the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, this index is not yet up to its
all-time high from 2021.
The NASDAQ Composite index closed today at 18,490, up 116 points or
+0.6%. NASDAQ opened the week at 18,427, setting up a small weekly gain of 0.3%. NASDAQ closed at an all-time high on Monday and almost reached that level today. NASDAQ’s trading volume was roughly flat with a slight decline this week.
The markets are essentially bullish with both the S&P 500 index and NASDAQ hitting all-time highs this week. But volatility remains moderately elevated and the Russell 2000 index has not yet matched its previous all-time high. This week’s trading was largely sideways and choppy. The S&P 500 traded within the channel formed by 5800 and 5875.
The Russell 2000 index traded strongly higher since October 10th but pulled back a bit over the past two days. Russell remains the only broad market index that has not set a new all-time high. IBD’s market assessment is “all in” with its recommended stock exposure of 80-100% and the Stock Traders Almanac triggered its seasonal buy signal last week.
I remain cautious, although I am unsure of the root cause. The choppy nature of the recent market is a factor and maybe the hateful drama during this election cycle may be coloring my vision of the markets.