Today was another low volume, largely no-movement kind of day. This becoming the norm for this market. SPX gained $3 to close at $1281 while RUT gained $4 to close at $754. SPX chopped largely sideways today; it traded as low as $1274, so support held even on an intraday basis. RUT is stalled at the long-term resistance level around $750 - $755. This is the portion of the RUT chart that corresponds to the $1270 level on SPX, so while SPX has broken that long term resistance level, RUT has been unable to close decisively above that level. Trading volume in the S&P 500 declined again today to 2.6 billion shares; the 50 dma is at 2.9 billion shares. The 50 dma has been steadily declining since roughly mid-October of last year. Trading volume on the NYSE was up 2% and increased 6% on NASDAQ. The VIX moved up about a half point to 21% today - probably not significant.
Today was a light news day, so there wasn't much to push traders one way or the other. The bulls continue to be held back by fears of the European sovereign debt issues, while the bears have to admit to strong corporate earnings. In fact, on a P/E basis, the S&P 500 is about as inexpensive as it has ever been. So the markets are trapped in this trading range. If something decisive were to be accomplished in Europe, there is a strong pent-up bull market lurking in there.
My Feb RUT iron condor 590/600 and 840/850 continues to build profits with a net P/L of +$1,920 and position delta of -$27 and theta = +$71. Although the current gains are tempting, this position has the potential for a $3,400 gain, so I will be patient and allow time decay to do its thing.
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